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Tag: Mullah Omar

A Bayesian look at the Mullah Omar affair

Posted on 13 March 201915 December 2020 by Mario Ragazzi

Regardless of the merits of Bette Dam’s recent report and the solidity of its evidence, a simple Bayesian observation shows that the conditional probability of the Taliban being an ISI proxy given that Mullah Omar lived marginalised in an Afghan village after 2001, is actually greater than its a priori probability.

Posted in PostsTagged Afghanistan, ISI, Mullah Omar, Pakistan, Taliban

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